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  • GU Nannan
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250635
    Accepted: 2025-08-31
    Graph-based semi-supervised dimensionality reduction is one of the most effective techniques in its field, yet some issues remain inadequately addressed. For example, how to leverage unlabeled samples to enhance class discriminability in the low-dimensional feature space, and how to effectively handle data with varying noise levels or even outliers. To tackle these problems, this paper proposes a self-paced semi-supervised dimensionality reduction method based on a sparse structured graph. The proposed method firstly implements label propagation on a sparse structured graph to get the pseudo-labels of unlabeled data. Then, it utilizes the self-paced learning regime to get the feature projection by incorporating data sequentially from simple to complex ones, where the easiness/importance of each unlabeled sample is measured by the smoothness loss of the feature projection at the sample, and the intra-class distance between the low-dimensional representation of the sample and the corresponding class anchor. In this way, a more and more mature model can be obtained in the robust self-paced manner. The proposed method can evaluate the importance of samples, which helps to differentiate the effects of samples on feature projection learning and suppress the negative effect of unreliable pseudo-labels. The method is also robust to data with noise or outliers. Besides, the method utilizes both unlabeled and labeled data to promote class discrimination in the low-dimensional feature space. Finally, the method is nonlinear and inductive. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
  • ZHANG Wanli, YANG Degang, LIN Wenting
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240934
    Accepted: 2025-08-27
    This paper investigates finite-time control and bipartite synchronization of complex networks with quantized delayed couplings. The connections of networks are described by using signed graph and couplings. The parameters are introduced to characterize the different rates of the states for the nodes. The discontinuity of activation function and proportional delay coupling are also considered. Via 1-norm, non-delay-dependent controllers are designed. Those controllers don’t include sign function and they can be used to overcome the chattering of control signals. Based on the fact that the classical finite-time stability theorem is invalid to deal with delayed systems, the 1-norm analytical method is developed to realize finite-time synchronization of the considered networks. Moreover, the influences of proportional delays are overcome by using 1-norm Lyapunov functions. Some useful results of finitetime synchronization are also obtained by considering the simple forms of complex networks. Finally, numerical simulations are given to present the effectiveness of the theoretical results.
  • WANG Haijun, LI Xian, LI Ziyi, SU Danhua
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250319
    Accepted: 2025-08-26
    Household debt risk is a critical determinant of systemic financial risk, significantly impacting financial stability and social welfare. This study utilizes data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) spanning 2012-2022 to construct a comprehensive database comprising 62 variables and 23,578 observations that integrates macroeconomic indicators with micro-household characteristics. This paper employs seven machine learning algorithms encompassing traditional econometric models, deep learning approaches, and ensemble learning methods to predict household debt risk. Through systematic comparison and fusion optimization using both Blending and Stacking fusion strategies, this paper examines the predictive performance of these models. The empirical results demonstrate that ensemble learning models significantly outperform traditional econometric approaches, with accuracy, precision, and AUC values exceeding 0.92. The Stacking fusion model achieves the highest AUC of 0.9852, representing a 47% improvement over the baseline Logit model. Using SHAP analysis, we identify that household asset variables, income-debt characteristics, and demographic-social structure factors exhibit significant nonlinear effects on debt risk. Our findings suggest that machine learning fusion models offer superior predictive capability for household debt risk assessment, providing valuable insights for financial regulation and policy formulation in managing systemic financial risks.
  • TAN Bing, LI Yi-feng, YANG You, ZHAO Guang-ming, SUN Xiao-chi, LIU Xue-wen
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250109
    Accepted: 2025-08-22
    Yard cranes (YCs) are the primary loading and unloading equipment in container terminal yards, and their scheduling efficiency is a critical factor influencing the overall operational efficiency of the terminal. This paper studies YC scheduling in multi-crane and partitioned zones, based on task priority and YC occupancy level. Firstly, the execution priority of YC tasks is defined, and YC occupancy level is introduced to characterize the balance of YC operations. It is worth noting that most existing literature measures YC balance solely based on the number of tasks, while YC occupancy level depends not only on the quantity of tasks but also on their difficulty. Secondly, considering different types of tasks, a mixed-integer programming model is constructed with the objective of minimizing the sum of YC idle time and the variance of YC occupancy level, based on the concepts of task priority and YC occupancy level. Finally, a genetic algorithm is employed to solve the proposed model, and a case study is provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Compared to existing research, the YC scheduling method based on task priority and YC occupancy level proposed in this paper is applicable to more general operational scenarios, while also improving the parallelism and efficiency of YC operations.
  • CHEN Jiali, PANG Zhiqiang, LING Ling, ZHANG Chongqi
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250469
    Accepted: 2025-08-22
    To better investigate practical research and development scenarios where responses are simultaneously influenced by mixture component proportions and their order of addition, this study employs optimality criteria for designs within mixture design regions defined by basic and additional constraints. We systematically examine saturated design problems covering no interaction, first-order interaction, and second-order interaction cases between component proportions and order-of-addition variables. Explicit closed-form solutions are derived for the D- and A-optimality criterion functions, the corresponding saturated optimal designs, and their associated D- and A-efficiencies under the order-of-addition-dependent q-component secondorder Scheffé centroid polynomial models. Analysis of these efficiencies reveals that A-optimal designs consistently demonstrate superior robustness compared to D-optimal designs when evaluated under combined optimality criteria. Case studies validate the theoretical findings.
  • HAN Meng-ying, GAO Kai-ye, YAN Rui, QIU Qing-an
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240708
    Accepted: 2025-08-22
    The abnormal behaviors of protection systems, such as misoperation and refusal operation, can result in significant economic losses and pose safety threats to individuals and even the nation. In this paper, a condition-based and action-based maintenance strategy is proposed for a multi-state protection system with competing failure processes. A random shock model is employed to describe the action demand arrival process, where invalid shocks indicate that no protective actions are required, while valid shocks represent the arrival of actual action requirements, necessitating protective actions. The action behaviors depend on the system’s state: when an invalid shock arrives, a defective system may lead to misoperation; when an valid shock arrives, a defective system may exhibit refusal operation, whereas a failed system inevitably experiences refusal operation. The states of the system can only be detected by inspections. Based on the inspection outcomes, the system undergo defect-based or failure-based replacement if it is identified as defective or failed, respectively. Additionally, misoperation-based or refusal-operation-based replacement are required if misoperation or refusal operation occurs. Subsequently, a maintenance model aimed at minimizing the expected cost rate is constructed based on the probabilities of different renewal scenarios. The correctness of the proposed model is verified using a discrete-event simulation algorithm, and the practical applicability of the strategy is demonstrated through a numerical example. The results indicate that probabilities of misoperation and refusal operation in a defective system significantly influence the optimal inspection strategy, and the proposed model provides a theoretical basis and decision support for the maintenance of relevant systems in engineering practice.
  • GUO Fengjia, JIA Lifen, CHEN Wei
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250053
    Accepted: 2025-08-21
    This paper proposes a multi-attribute reverse auction (MARA) winner determination method for fourth-party logistics integrators (4PLI) selecting thirdparty logistics suppliers (3PLS). The method addresses incomplete and heterogeneous information while considering 4PLI risk preferences. It employs heterogeneous decision information, including real numbers, interval numbers, and probabilistic linguistic term sets (PLTS), to describe 3PLS price and non-price attributes. A trust transmission model and a trust aggregation model are built to establish a complete social trust network. Based on this network and information similarity, a model completes incomplete bid evaluation information. Furthermore, a hyperbolic absolute risk aversion (HARA) utility function is integrated into regret theory to characterize 4PLIs’ differentiated risk preferences. To handle attribute correlation, weights are determined using the Spearman correlation coefficient combined with the Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC) method. An improved probabilistic linguistic distance measure is then defined to quantify evaluation information differences. Combining this distance measure, the attribute weighting model, and the Evaluation based on Distance from Average Solution (EDAS), an alternative selection procedure for heterogeneous decision-making information is presented. Numerical examples verify the method’s effectiveness and superiority. This work extends MARA winner determination theory and provides practical methods for 4PLIs selecting partners.
  • LUO Guowang, WANG Luhong, WU Yuyao
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250208
    Accepted: 2025-08-21
    This paper considers statistical inference for spatial autoregressive models with measurement errors in covariates under restricted conditions. Under the condition that the measurement error variance is known or can be estimated, a bias-corrected restricted two-stage least squares (RC2SLS) estimation method and a test method are proposed for the model parameters. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators and test statistics are established under certain regularity conditions. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to verify the proposed estimation and test methods.
  • CAI Mei, CHEN Hao
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250369
    Accepted: 2025-08-20
    In view of the limitations of classical probabilistic models in dealing with complex decisions and the interference of overlapping communities on decision-making, a group decision-making method based on quantum cognitive theory considering the overlapping community division is proposed. Taking consumers’ multiple social identities as the breakthrough point, we reveal the mechanism of preference formation and group preference integration under the interference effect. Firstly, a fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm is used to divide overlapping communities based on the differences in decision-makers’ preferences, and the membership degree of an individual in different communities is obtained and quantized to reflect the individual’s superposition state of multiple community belongings. Then, in the framework of quantum-like Bayesian networks, the belief entropy method is used to quantify the interference effect between communities, modify the weight of decision makers and integrate group preferences. Finally, the method is used to analyze the online reviews to verify the influence of the interference effect between communities on the group decision results. The study shows that the quantized overlapping community division method can effectively capture the complex belonging relationship of individual consumers to multiple communities. And the quantum-like Bayesian network has stronger explanatory power in predicting consumer preferences under the interference of overlapping communities.
  • XIA Jiejin, YANG Xinjia, DENG Kaixin, YIN Zhujia
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250203
    Accepted: 2025-08-20
    Based on the data of Chinese A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2023, this study explores whether and how the board diversify promotes high-quality innovation of enterprises. The research findings show that board diversity has a positive impact on high-quality innovation overall. The mechanism analysis reveals that board diversity can effectively enhance the supervisory and governance functions of the board, and improve the role of attracting investment and talents. In the heterogeneity analysis, the effect of board diversity on high-quality innovation is more pronounced in non-state-owned enterprises and high-tech enterprises. Additionally, from a multi-dimensional analysis, the diversity of board members’ education level, social background, and experience helps to enhance high-quality innovation, while the diversity of demographic characteristics may have an adverse impact on innovation. Therefore, companies should aim at the specific issues and \embrace strengths and avoid weaknesses" to promote board diversity to improve the level of high-quality innovation, and regulatory authorities should issue more targeted guidelines to guide the boards of companies to achieve reasonable diversification.
  • REN Yuhang, FENG Zhongwei, YANG Yuzhong, TAN Chunqiao
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250065
    Accepted: 2025-08-18
    Consider a system consisting of an electric automaker (EA) with the ability to produce batteries and an EA without the ability to produce batteries, who build extra charging stations. This paper constructs a Cournot competition model, and respectively constructs a co-opetition model with independence-based pricing and a co-opetition model with negotiation-based pricing through Stackelberg game and Nash negotiation game. This paper investigates the optimal strategy choice and decisions of building extra charging stations for EAs. It is shown that: 1) The optimal strategy choice (i.e., competition, co-opetition with independence-based pricing and co-opetition with negotiation-based pricing) depends on the bargaining power of the EAs, the degree of electric vehicle substitution, the network efficiency of charging stations and the battery cost difference. And whether the wholesale price of batteries is determined through bargaining mainly depends on bargaining power. 2) When the EA with the ability to produce batteries has relatively high bargaining power, compared with bargaining, the EA with the ability to produce batteries can always benefit from the pioneer advantage in the Stackelberg game, but the Stackelberg game undermines the overall profits of the two EAs during cooperation-competition.3) Compared with the competitive strategy, when co-opetition strategies realize the Pareto improvement of EAs, the electric vehicle prices are also lower than the competition strategy. 4) When the co-opetition strategy is implemented, co-opetition strategy will make the EA without the ability produce batteries to build more charging stations, while it will cause the EA with the ability to produce batteries to build less charging stations. And co-opetition contracting can also affect decisions of building extra charging stations for EAs.
  • CHEN Jing, TANG Xueping, CHEN Liwei, ZHAO Heng
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250422
    Accepted: 2025-08-14
    Addressing the issue of battery strategy selection in the production and R&D of new energy vehicles by traditional automakers, a two-tier and three-tier automotive supply chain model is constructed, led by manufacturers and involving suppliers and dealers. Utilizing differential games and optimal control theory, the study examined the impact of various battery selection strategies on the optimal emission reduction trajectory for fuel vehicles, the optimal goodwill trajectory, and long-term profits under scenarios where fuel consumption targets are met or not met. The results reveal that: First, as time progresses, there is an observable increase in the emission reduction and fuel efficiency levels of fuel vehicles, as well as an enhancement in their brand goodwill. In the long term, the in-house battery development strategy demonstrates superiority over the external procurement strategy in terms of emission reduction, brand goodwill trajectories, and stable revenue values. Second, the credit price exhibits a threshold effect across various strategies. At low credit prices, the in-house development strategy offers a significant advantage in reducing carbon emissions. In contrast, at high credit prices, the purchased strategy responds more quickly under fuel efficiency compliance conditions. Thirdly, under the in-house development strategy, an increase in credit price effectively incentivizes manufacturers to allocate more resources to enhancing the range capabilities of new energy vehicles.
  • BIN Ning, ZHU Huai-nian
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250256
    Accepted: 2025-08-11
    This paper studies the time-consistent non-zero-sum stochastic differential game strategies for n competitive insurance companies. Insurance companies adopt the proportional reinsurance, and the risk process follows a compound Poisson risk model. Considering the stochastic correlation between risky assets, a multivariate 4/2 stochastic covariance model is introduced to characterize the price processes of two risky assets. The objective of each insurer is to find the optimal investment-reinsurance strategy so as to maximize the expected value of its terminal relative wealth while minimizing the variance of the terminal relative wealth. By introducing an auxiliary deterministic process, this paper obtains a modified mean-variance objective function, and constructs an alternative time-consistent mean-variance control problem. Then, by solving the HJB equation, the time-consistent equilibrium investment-reinsurance strategies for insurers are obtained. Finally, some numerical examples are provided to analyze the effects of important parameters on the equilibrium strategies. The results show that the intensification of competition between insurers will prompt them to adopt more aggressive investment and reinsurance behaviors; and at the same time, the correlation between risky assets in financial markets will also influence the decision-making of insurers.
  • CAO T Y, ZHUANG A T, WANG Y G
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250458
    Accepted: 2025-08-10
    As a non-parametric Bayesian regression approach, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) model combines the precision of likelihood-based inference with the flexibility of machine learning algorithms. It provides superior predictive performance when there is a nonlinear relationships or complex interaction scenarios among the response variables and covariates. Longitudinal data, widely presents in fields such as medicine, economics, and environmental science, holds important research significance. To improve the predictive accuracy of longitudinal data analysis, this study proposes a new method for longitudinal data analysis based on BART, in which utilizes BART to estimate non-parametric parts in the semiparametric mixed-effects model. In numerical simulations, this study compares the new method with four other methods: mixed-effects gradient boosting method (MEGB), stochastic mixed-effects regression tree method (SMERT), stochastic random effects expectation-maximization regression tree method (SREEMtree), and stochastic mixed-effects random forest method (SMERF). The simulation results consistently show that the new method outperforms the other four methods. To illustrate its practical application, this study applies it to two real-world datasets.
  • ZHOU Yufeng, PAN Zimei
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250267
    Accepted: 2025-08-09
    To address the challenges of digital healthcare services and meet the personalized needs of diverse patient types, this study investigates the optimization of scheduling and routing for home healthcare workers. Unlike previous studies, in the problem, both doctor and patient bilaterally have personal preferences, heterogeneous patients can choose three service modes: outpatient, door-to-door, and online services, healthcare workers have fatigue perception, and healthcare workers’ scheduling and routing decisions are reflected in hybrid scheduling and routing multi-objective optimization decision-making with the fusion of online and offline multi-service modes. A bi-objective mixed-integer programming (MIP) model is proposed to maximize the satisfaction of both healthcare workers and patients, subject to constraints such as shift limitations and worker-patient matching. To address the characteristics of the model, an improved Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm-II (ISPEA-II) is developed. Using metrics such as HV, Spacing, and GD for algorithm evaluation, numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed ISPEA-II outperforms traditional Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm-II (SPEA-II), Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II), Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-III (NSGA-III), Differential Evolutionary Algorithm (DE), and Immune Algorithm (IA). Finally, sensitivity analyses on key parameters, including skill levels of healthcare workers, shift lengths, and maximum consecutive working days, yield managerial insights, providing theoretical guidance for scheduling and routing decisions in home healthcare.
  • ZENG Shouzhen, GAO Luhong, RONG Qiyu
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250006
    Accepted: 2025-08-04
    This paper addresses several issues in group decision-making under social network environments, such as low public participation, non-cooperative trust evaluation behavior, and insufficient trust information mining. A group decision consensus model considering non-cooperative behavior in dynamic social network environments is proposed. First, the TF-IDF algorithm is applied to mine user behavior data from social media to obtain the public-level criterion weights. These weights, combined with expert-level criterion weights based on intuitionistic fuzzy entropy, achieve a fusion of public and expert perspectives, thereby determining decision criteria and their corresponding weights in a scientific and reasonable manner. In the initial trust evaluation phase, a trust relationship based on intuitionistic fuzzy numbers is constructed. The uninorm operator is employed to quantify cooperative and non-cooperative features, identifying and addressing non-cooperative trust evaluation behaviors through a reward and punishment mechanism to adjust trust values. Furthermore, the concept of "directional trust" is introduced and its measurement algorithm is designed to capture the influence of opinion adjustment trends on trust, addressing the limitations of traditional similarity-based trust models. A dynamic trust network update algorithm is developed to incorporate initial trust, similarity trust, and directional trust in multiple decision rounds, accurately reflecting the dynamic evolution of trust relationships. In the consensus adjustment phase, expert consensus contributions and trust levels are integrated to select reference objects, guiding non-cooperative experts to adjust their opinions. Finally, the proposed method is applied to the decision-making process for the site selection of green small hydropower stations, demonstrating its effectiveness and superiority.
  • SUN Hongxia, WANG Ruotong, ZHOU Yongsheng, YAN Miao, YUAN Ruiping
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms241054
    Accepted: 2025-08-03
    New energy vehicle power batteries are gradually entering the end-of-life phase, and the number of decommissioned batteries is increasing day by day, which has already shown a large-scale trend. To avoid environmental pollution and increase the recycling rate of used power batteries, it is particularly important to study the recycling problem of used power batteries. First, according to different government supervision intensity, a consumer utility function influenced by consumers’ environmental awareness and government subsidies is constructed, and a game model including the competition between formal and informal recycling enterprises is established. The optimal recycling prices and recycling rates under different government supervision intensities are obtained, and the impacts of government supervision intensity, subsidies, recycling cost coefficient, and consumers’ environmental awareness on the optimal decisions of these two types of enterprises are analyzed. Second, the social welfare functions under different supervision intensity are constructed, and the optimal government supervision intensity is obtained through numerical analysis, and the impacts of consumers’ environmental awareness on social welfare and the recycling rate of formal recycling enterprise are further analyzed. The results show that: (1) It is effective and feasible for the government to regulate the market in order to standardize the recycling market. (2) Consumers’ environmental awareness has a greater impact on enterprises’ decision-making than government subsidies. Government subsidies are more effective when consumer environmental awareness is high. (3) Consumers’ environmental awareness is positively correlated with the government’s regulatory strength, and the improvement of consumers’ environmental awareness promotes the government to strengthen the regulation of informal enterprise. (4) In order to increase the recycling rate of formal recycling enterprise, the government needs to sacrifice a certain amount of social welfare.
  • KONG Dewen, XU Haonan, WANG Zhengxin, XIAO Min
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240968
    Accepted: 2025-08-02
    In this paper, the dynamic event triggering control problem is studied in Lur’e networks under denial-of-service (DoS) attacks. In order to tackle DoS attacks, a dynamic event-triggered control protocol is firstly designed, in which the coefficients of the dynamic parameters can be automatically adjusted according to whether the network is attacked or not, reducing the impact of DoS attacks on the network synchronization and also ensuring the dynamic adjustment capability of the control protocol. By using the Lyapunov stability and linear matrix inequality methods, a sufficient condition for the synchronization of the Lur’e network under DoS attacks is derived. Furthermore, it is proved that the proposed event-triggered protocol is free of Zeno behavior. Finally, the effectiveness of the control protocol and the theoretical results are verified by simulation results.
  • TAO Jiulong, LI Guorong, MA Xiuying, SUN Huijun
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250266
    Accepted: 2025-08-02
    The digital economy has increasingly become a core engine driving highquality economic development in the new era, but it still faces challenges related to unbalanced and insufficient development across regions and industries. Drawing on input-output tables for China.s provincial digital economy industries and relevant data from 2007, 2012, and 2017, this article provides an in-depth analysis of the dynamic evolution of regional value chain positions and their underlying formation mechanisms, aiming to reveal the structural development patterns of China.s digital economy across regions. The study finds that industrial digitization in China continues to accelerate. However, the production capacity of the communications manufacturing industry remains overly concentrated in Guangdong and Jiangsu, while its share is steadily declining in some northern regions. The penetration of digital technologies in traditional industries remains limited in most central and western regions, especially in the agricultural sector. As digital transformation deepens, the industrial digitalization sector has played a leading role in driving socio-economic development, characterized by a diminishing influence coefficient but a growing propagating effect. In contrast, the digital industrialization sector demonstrates a stronger driving effect, with a steadily rising influence coefficient, particularly in the central and western regions. However, development in the northeastern region remains relatively slow. Further analysis reveals that the strengthening of the digital economy.s industrial linkage is primarily driven by the rapid growth of internal consumption and distribution) reflecting an expanding intra-industrial cycle. However, this also contributes to a weakening connection with traditional sectors, especially agriculture, which has become a notable weak point in the current development of the digital industry.
  • LIU Weihua, LU Yizhen
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240810
    Accepted: 2025-07-31
    In the context of the rapid development of e-commerce, but the return and exchange rate remains high, resulting in a large amount of wasted resources, online retailers use augmented reality and other technologies to provide consumers with a "virtual showroom" service in order to reduce the operating costs arising from a large number of returns and exchanges. To address the impact of consumer free-riding behavior on the pricing and service decisions of supply chain members when virtual showrooms are introduced into the online dual-channel supply chain, this paper constructs a dual-channel supply chain model consisting of the manufacturer’s online direct sales channel and the online retailer’s distribution channel based on the Stackelberg game theory, and analyzes the impact of the consumer’s free-riding behavior on the optimal profits of the supply chain members, as well as the strategic game between the online retailer and the manufacturer. We analyze the impact of consumer free-riding behavior on the optimal profits of supply chain members and the strategic game between online retailers and manufacturers. The study finds that, firstly, consumer free-riding behavior harms the profitability of online retailers and affects the sensitivity of the optimal profitability of manufacturers and online retailers to the return rate of products. Second, online retailers can eliminate the effect of consumer free-riding behavior through price matching, but this strategy is effective only when the channel competition intensity is high and the product return rate is low. Finally, manufacturers also have sufficient incentives to open virtual showroom services when product return rates and channel competition intensity are high.
  • TAN Tao, LI Biao, WU Lijun, ZHOU Yong
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms241041
    Accepted: 2025-07-31
    In this article, we consider three types of agents: policyholders, insurers, and reinsurers. From the perspective of the insurer and the reinsurer, we measure the risk through the distortion risk measures. When the premium principle is the distortion premium principle, we obtain the optimal form of the loss function of the policyholder and the insurer respectively. The result shows that in some cases, the risks of the policyholder and the insurer need to be fully borne by the insurer and the reinsurer. In some cases, the risks of the policyholder and insurer do not need to be borne by the insurer and reinsurer. When the distortion risk measures is designated as value at risk (VaR) and tail value at risk (TVaR) risk measure, and the distortion premium principle is designated as the expected premium principle, we analyze the optimal reinsurance problem in detail, and give the optimal form of the loss function of the policyholder and insurer respectively under different circumstances.
  • LIN Zhiyu, ZHU Hongquan, XIE Zhonghua
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250014
    Accepted: 2025-07-31
    Investors’ risk perception has a key impact on asset pricing. We use the change in book-to-market ratio (△BM) of a firm between two consecutive months, to measure investors’ risk perception, and explore its relationship with expected stock returns. We find a positive and significant correlation between investors’ risk perception and expected stock returns, which cannot be explained by existing asset pricing models. We further show that the predictive ability of △BM on expected stock returns is driven by investors’ risk perception rather than firm’s future financial information, mispricing, or investor sentiment. Additionally, we find significant heterogeneity in the predictive effect of risk perception under different market conditions and firm characteristics, indicating that this effect is more pronounced during bear markets, and among small firms and firms with low liquidity. After a series of tests, our findings remain robust.
  • HU Guihua, LI Ting, ZHOU Tingting, QI Li, ZHENG Renjing
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250083
    Accepted: 2025-07-27
    This article aims to construct a dual-source estimator with complete theory, sampling registration, and population movement, in order to improve the precision of estimating the net error of population census. To achieve the goal, a combination of mathematical models and on-site surveys is used to study the dual-source estimator and its related issues. It is found that the dual-source estimator cannot be directly constructed in the population, but should be established at the population stratum with equal probability; when calculating the sampling variance of the dual-source estimator of the population, the co-variance between equal probability population strata cannot be ignored, otherwise the sampling variance of the dual-source estimator of the population will be underestimated or overestimated; although the dual-source estimator is widely used, measures should be taken to meet its assumptions; the innovation lies in clarifying the inherent logical relationship between the Peterson-Lincoln estimator and the dual-source estimator; constructing sampling variance estimator, bias estimator, and mean square error estimator for dual-source estimator based on stratified jack-knife method; comparing the estimation results and precision between non-population movement and population movement dual source estimators from a data perspective. The significance of this study is to elaborate the dual-source estimator from its origin, construction, variance and bias estimation, and specific operation, so as to provide theoretical methods and practical basis for the scientific use of dual-source estimator.
  • ZHANG Ziyi, XU Guangkui, DU Wei
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250179
    Accepted: 2025-07-27
    Combinatorial designs have attracted significant attention due to their wide applications in coding theory, finite geometry, and statistics. This paper constructs a class of extended primitive cyclic codes of length $q$. By using the $2$-transitivity of the affine transformation group, we prove that the supports of the nonzero codewords in this code support 2-designs. In particular, when $q=3^m$, by an investigation of the properties of certain special symmetric polynomials, we demonstrate that the constructed code is an A$^2$MDS code with parameters $[q, 6, q-7]$, and its dual code is an AMDS code with parameters $[q, q-6, 6]$. Meanwhile, utilizing the $2$-transitivity of the affine transformation group, we prove that the codewords of minimum weight $6$ in the dual code also support $2$-designs. The design parameters are verified via the Magma program, and experimental results show that the constructed $2$-designs possess new parameters, thereby providing new instances for the theory of 2-designs.
  • CAO Ziwen, LI Lanqiang
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250263
    Accepted: 2025-07-27
    In the current era of rapid development in quantum information technology, the construction of quantum maximum distance separable (MDS) codes has become a crucial research topic in the field of quantum error-correcting codes. By establishing necessary and sufficient conditions for generalized Reed-Solomon (GRS) codes to be self-orthogonal, this paper first presents explicit constructions of two classes of Hermitian self-orthogonal GRS codes. Subsequently, employing the Hermitian construction method and utilizing the aforementioned codes, we further develop two new classes of quantum MDS codes. Notably, the minimum distances of both classes of quantum MDS codes constructed in this work exceed $\frac{q+1}{2}+2$. Furthermore, comparative analysis with existing codes demonstrates that our constructions achieve larger minimum distances while maintaining the same code lengths.
  • LI Zhize, LIN Wen-juan, ZHANG Yanfa
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250219
    Accepted: 2025-07-26
    In order to improve the control performance of active suspension and save communication resources, an aperiodic sampling fault-tolerant controller is proposed. The active suspension system is reconstructed by the input delay method. Using Lyapunov-Krasovskii (L-K) stability theory, the looped-functional is constructed and then stability criterion is established. Based on linear matrix inequalities (LMIs), the controller gain and the maximum sampling period satisfying the given $H_\infty$ performance index are solved. Finally, the effectiveness of the designed controller is verified by numerical simulation.
  • YANG Bai, LIU Yucen, TANG Fei
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250018
    Accepted: 2025-07-24
    Battery suppliers face a choice between independent R&D and cooperative R&D with new energy vehicle manufacturers when improving battery technology. To address this issue, we consider a two-echelon supply chain consisting of a single battery supplier and a single new energy vehicle manufacturer to examine the selection of battery R&D strategies under different power structures (the battery supplier-led and the new energy vehicle manufacturer-led) by using game theory. The results show that regardless of who dominates the supply chain, the cooperative R&D strategy is always favourable for the new energy vehicle manufacturer. When the battery supplier dominates the supply chain, the cooperative R&D strategy is the dominant strategy for the battery supplier. However, when the new energy vehicle manufacturer is the leader, the battery supplier prefers the cooperative R&D strategy only if the new energy vehicle manufacturer’s R&D cost coefficient is relatively small; otherwise, the battery supplier tends to choose the independent R&D mode.
  • XU Linming, WANG Xinbing, LU Jincheng, LIN Qi
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250277
    Accepted: 2025-07-24
    In the comprehensive evaluation, the current research lacks sufficient consideration of the equilibrium level of the development of the evaluated object. Especially in the process of dynamic incentive evaluation under the new development pattern of high-quality development, full attention should be paid to the development equilibrium level of the evaluated object, while considering timing gain and balanced development level, to reflect its development situation more comprehensively and accurately. To optimize the traditional static evaluation method, the idea of contact vector distance is introduced to improve the traditional Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method. In terms of indicator weighting, the improved G$_1$-Entropy combination weighting method is used to assign indicators, and the difference of information entropy between decision-makers’ subjective opinions and objective indicator data is considered. In the dynamic evaluation method, considering the incentive factors of the development trend of evaluation indicators and the equilibrium level, the vertical temporal gain and horizontal equilibrium development of the evaluated object are integrated into the dynamic evaluation process from both external and internal perspectives, and an improved TOPSIS dynamic evaluation method considering the dual incentive characteristics is proposed. Finally, the model is used to carry out dynamic evaluation and analysis on the development performance of 300 A-share listed SRDI SMEs in 2019-2021, and put forward targeted suggestions for promoting high-quality development of SRDI SMEs.
  • MA Yanfang, LIU Danyang, LI Zhen, LI Zongmin
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240707
    Accepted: 2025-07-22
    It is crucial to explore the propagation law of network rumors and provide scientific governance strategies for maintaining clear cyberspace. On the basis of the classic SEIR model composed of four groups: Susceptible(S) - Exposed(E) - Infected(I) - Removed(R), the infected people are further divided into rumor infecors (I) and fact clarifiers (C). Considering the government intervention and the heat of public opinion events, the SEICR rumor propagation model is constructed, and the propagation threshold $R_0$ is given. Focusing on the interactive transformation behavior of I and C, we introduces the Prospect Theory to construct the Bi-directional conversion model of IC, solves the five equilibrium points of the model, and explores the conditions that the system should meet when it evolves to a gradual stable point. Finally, based on the complex network environment, the SEICR model is simulated under the influence of the intensity of government intervention and the heat of public opinion events, and the case of “Cat One Cup” incident on TikTok platform is empirically analyzed through text mining and emotional analysis. The results show that the game between I and C can accelerate the evolution of public opinion; Effective government intervention can suppress the fermentation of rumors and reduce the scale of public opinion events; I and C have different sensitivities to the heat of public opinion events. When the heat of public opinion events is high, the government should pay more attention. Based on the research conclusions, some suggestions on rumor control are put forward from the perspective of government intervention means and intervention period.
  • HE Yuanxia, DUAN Xingde, HE Pengfei
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250285
    Accepted: 2025-07-22
    The classical Bernoulli-Normal generalized linear mixed-effects joint model is commonly used to analyze data of mixed types including binary and continuous outcomes. Under the Bayesian framework, this paper incorporates the Pólya-Gamma distribution family into such mixed-effects joint models. To enhance computational efficiency, we employ the data-augmentation strategy in conjunction with the P?lya-Gamma distribution family to tansform the posterior distribution of regression parameters into a conjugate normal form. Also, the blocked Gibbs sampler is developed for drawing observations from the posterior distributions and producing the joint Bayesian estimates of unknown parameters and random effects. Furthermore, two goodness-of-fit statistics are proposed to evaluate the plausibility of the posited model, and the procedures for computing the deviance information criterion for model comparison are given. Finally, several simulation studies and a real example are presented to illustrate the proposed methodologies.
  • CHEN Leiwen, LI Meijuan, GUO Geng
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250048
    Accepted: 2025-07-21
    To investigate the strategic choices of supply chain enterprises when engaging lead users in marketing, this study constructs a supply chain system comprising a manufacturer and a retailer, where the retailer collaborates with a lead user to promote the product. Three marketing strategies are proposed: full retailer-dependence, partial retailer-dependence, and full consumer-dependence. A Stackelberg game framework is developed to analyze the strategic interactions. Furthermore, to enhance the marketing efficiency of lead users, a refined partial retailer-dependence strategy is introduced based on the lead user’s marketing efforts. The results show that: retailers should select appropriate marketing strategies based on the lead user’s conversion rate and the presence of the eclipsing effect; the eclipsing effect of lead users influences supply chain decision-making outcomes; cooperating with lead users who exhibit strong social responsibility can significantly improve the effectiveness of marketing strategies; a slotting fee scheme based on the lead user’s marketing effort level can increase supply chain profits and product innovation; consumer heterogeneity does not undermine the positive impact of lead users’ social responsibility on supply chain innovation.
  • GUO Peiqiang, LI Zhiwen, XIA Peng, ZHOU Tai
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250205
    Accepted: 2025-07-20
    This study adopts a game-theoretic model to examine the strategic decisions of physical pharmacies regarding participation in a pharmaceutical platform that offers two delivery modes: traditional non-technical delivery (NTD) and technical delivery (TD). A benchmark model was established to analyze the operational choices of pharmacies before and after joining the platform, focusing on drug variety, logistics pricing, and profitability under each delivery mode. The research results show that when the logistics distribution cost is low, physical pharmacies will choose to join the pharmaceutical platform. At this time, the TD mode provides more drug types than the NTD mode, and the overall profit is higher, so the TD mode should be adopted; when the logistics distribution cost is at a medium level, any of them can be adopted; when the logistics distribution cost is high, neither mode will be chosen. In addition, the number of physical pharmacies will not affect the types of drugs before joining the platform, and when the number of pharmacies is small, there is no obvious difference in the optimal profit between the two modes. However, when physical pharmacies join the medical platform, as the number of pharmacies increases, the TD model will gain more profits, and when larger physical pharmacies join the platform, it will be beneficial to both parties and can achieve Pareto improvement. By further exploring the competition among platforms, it can be found that competition will intensify the contradictions between platforms, thereby reducing both their individual and overall profits.
  • LIU Xueyong, QU Jiakai, YAO Yinhong, JIA Lifen
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240482
    Accepted: 2025-07-15
    Risk warning in the stock market is fundamental to maintaining the security and stability of a national economic system. Accurate stock market risk warnings are significant for investors, regulatory authorities, and related enterprises. This paper proposes a new graph neural network-based early warning model based on the stock relationship network. Compared with existing methods based on early warning indicator systems and traditional machine learning models, the proposed model in this article considers the graph structural features in the stock market interaction network and constructs a method for feature extraction and dynamic update of neighboring nodes in the network based on the multi-head attention mechanism, successfully capturing the structural feature information in the stock market linkage network. Firstly, we constructed a stock complex relationship network based on the dynamic time warping algorithm; secondly, the GARCH-VaR model was used to assess and classify stock market risks; thirdly, we proposed the construction of an integrated model combining multi-head graph attention networks and graph convolutional neural networks (mGAT-GCN) to establish a stock market risk warning model with the stock relationship network and stock characteristics as input variables. Empirical results from the stock markets of Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Hong Kong demonstrate that the proposed mGAT-GCN warning model has better warning performance on multiple datasets compared to other methods.
  • LONG Miao, SUN Zhimeng, JING Zhongbo, HU Yonghong
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms241051
    Accepted: 2025-07-13
    The emergence of missing data and high-dimensional spatial data has brought theoretical and computational challenges to spatial econometric modeling and estimation. This paper studies the variable selection problem of a partial linear spatial autoregressive model with autoregressive disturbance terms under the situation of randomly missing response variables. Combining the B-spline estimation method, a marginal penalized quasi-maximum likelihood variable selection method is proposed. Under appropriate regular conditions, the consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimator are studied. The block coordinate descent iterative algorithm is used to implement the calculation of variable selection. In the case of finite samples, the numerical performance of the proposed method under different sample sizes, missing proportions, and spatial weight matrices is compared through Monte Carlo numerical simulations. The superiority of the method is tested through the analysis of Boston housing price data.
  • HE Bingyang, WANG Yupeng, ZHONG Rui, CAI Libo, ZHANG Wei, MA Kai
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250103
    Accepted: 2025-07-11
    Based on the master-slave game theory, the problem of coordinated security control and communication resource optimization of multi-regional power systems under multiple network attacks was studied. The attacker interfered with the transmission channel of the wireless network between regions, weakened the information interaction between subsystems, and thereby changed the synchronization coefficient of the regional interconnection line, threatening the overall stability of the system. Under the condition that both the system and the attacker had energy budget constraints, this paper took the energy allocation efficiency of the transmission channel as the core performance indicator and established a master-slave game model between the system and multiple attackers under incomplete information conditions. By solving the equilibrium solution of the game model, the optimal allocation scheme of the attack energy and the optimal energy allocation strategy of the system transmission channel were obtained respectively, which determined the system coefficient matrix of the subsystem. This further enabled the calculation of the control gain that ensured the asymptotic stability of the system. Finally, the correctness and effectiveness of the proposed method were verified through simulation experiments of actual power systems.
  • ZHANG Faming, LIAO Siyu, HE Siqi, LUO Qian
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240861
    Accepted: 2025-07-08
    Responding to consensus-building in decision-making for large groups under social trust networks, this paper introduces the management idea of incentives, and proposes a new, large group decision-making incentive consensus model based on interval Fermatean fuzzy set under the social trust network. Firstly, a new social trust network is constructed by defining the professional competence trust relationship based on the similarity of experts' preferences, and the experts are clustered and grouped by the spectral clustering algorithm, and then the experts and criteria weights are obtained; Secondly, using the IVFFHWA algorithm to gather the initial comprehensive evaluation value, according to which the consensus and trustworthiness of large group decision-making experts are measured and divided into four different types of consensus feedback; Once again, incorporating the incentive means of "rewarding the good and punishing the bad" to build a more targeted incentive consensus model, and dynamically adjusting the feedback mechanism until consensus is reached, so that we can get the group-satisfactory contingency Finally, the feasibility and effectiveness of the method proposed in this paper are verified by the use of emergency decision-making examples and comparative analysis.
  • ZHANG Yuwei, LI Zhenping, WU Yuwen, TIAN Xin, WU Lingyun
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240913
    Accepted: 2025-07-08
    This study investigates the staggered replenishment problem of multiple products in vending machines with limited storage capacity, using a two-product scenario as an example. The replenishment quantity, replenishment cycle, and the time interval between the staggered replenishments of the two products are treated as decision variables. A nonlinear programming model is formulated with the objective of minimizing the sum of replenishment costs and inventory holding costs. The necessary conditions for the optimal solution are analyzed and proven, and an analytical expression for the optimal solution is derived. Based on this, a method is developed to determine the optimal replenishment strategy for two products sharing a common, limited storage space. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed staggered replenishment strategy, numerical experiments are conducted using a representative case. Sensitivity analyses are performed on key parameters including demand rate, unit holding cost, maximum storage capacity, and unit storage space per product. The effects of these parameters on the replenishment cycle, staggering interval, and minimum total cost are examined. Practical guidelines for inventory management decisions under storage constraints are provided from a managerial perspective. This study offers theoretical support for developing optimal replenishment strategies for multiple products sharing constrained storage space.
  • SUN Jingyun, MA Xiaowen, ZHANG Ling
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240413
    Accepted: 2025-07-06
    In this paper, we consider the optimal asset allocation problem for a defined contribution (DC) pension fund within a financial market where the risky assets exhibit pricing errors and stochastic volatility. We assume that the investment opportunity set as comprising a risk-free asset, a market index fund whose price follows the constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model, and a pair of mispriced risky assets (stocks). Employing the stochastic dynamic programming approach, we aim to maximize the expected hyperbolic absolute risk aversion (HARA) utility of participants’ pension fund accounts at retirement. Through this method, we derive analytical expressions for the value function and the corresponding optimal investment strategy. Additionally, we explore two special cases of the optimal investment strategy under exponential and power utility functions, respectively. Numerical analysis reveals that the optimal allocation to the index fund in the DC pension fund is directly influenced by the stochastic volatility of asset prices. When the two mispriced assets exhibit equivalent mispricing correction capabilities, their optimal investment strategy manifests as a symmetric long-short trading approach. Furthermore, a higher contribution rate to the DC pension fund leads to a more aggressive optimal asset allocation strategy.
  • Chen Wenting, Huo Zhongyao, Lin Sha
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250232
    Accepted: 2025-07-05
    Commodity derivatives are an important component of China's financial market, and their pricing effectiveness is related to the stability of China's financial system and the efficiency of resource allocation. The traditional models for pricing commodity derivatives are based on inventory theory, and their deficiency becomes more significant with the increasingly prominent trend of commodity financialization. By introducing a financialization discount factor to measure the impact of commodity financialization and a regime-switching mechanism to grasp the impact of economic changes from a macro perspective, a new model which is more in line with the actual commodity market is established for the pricing of commodity derivatives. This newly established model not only includes many stochastic factors, but also has a hidden Markov chain, which has made the pricing never an easy task either numerically or analytically. Although difficult, this paper derives semi closed-form analytical solutions for the prices of commodity futures and options. Numerical results demonstrate the validity of the closed-form solution while quantifying the effects of financialization and regime switching on the pricing dynamics, underscoring the model's superior performance in risk management applications. Finally, through an empirical study, the applicability of the current model to the Chinese commodity futures market has been clearly demonstrated.
  • FU Xiaokang, ZOU Jiangbo
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240936
    Accepted: 2025-07-03
    Emotion, as a crucial driving factor in human behavior and decision-making, may impact the contagion of credit risk among businesses, with its processes and mechanisms yet to be clearly understood. This paper, based on complex network theory, establishes a dual-layer contagion model integrating entrepreneur emotions to explore the potential influence of emotions on the interrelated credit risks of businesses. The aim is to provide a comprehensive risk management perspective for governments. The research reveals that in the dual-layer networks of entrepreneur network A and business network B, as the probability of credit risk infection in network B's businesses and the connection probability between nodes in networks A and B increase, the effective transmission rate of pessimistic emotions in network A also rises. Conversely, a higher probability of pessimistic emotions shifting to optimistic emotions in network A leads to a lower effective transmission rate of pessimistic emotions. Moreover, as the immunity loss rate of businesses in network B, and the connection probability between networks A and B increase, the effective contagion rate of interrelated credit risks among businesses also increases. Additionally, a higher willingness of entrepreneurs to provide assistance results in a lower effective contagion rate of interrelated credit risks. When considering the interaction between the contagion of entrepreneur emotions and interrelated credit risks among businesses, if the random spread of entrepreneur pessimistic emotions dominates in network A, the thresholds for the contagion of entrepreneur emotions and interrelated credit risks depend only on the topological structure of network A and the probability of entrepreneur pessimistic emotion transmission. Conversely, if the random dominance of interrelated credit risks occurs in network B, the thresholds for the contagion of entrepreneur emotions and interrelated credit risks depend solely on the topological structure of network B, the willingness of entrepreneurs to provide assistance, and the rate of assistance provided by businesses.