中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院期刊网

09 July 2025, Volume 45 Issue 7
    

  • Select all
    |
  • GUAN Junbiao, LUO Ningning
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2011-2024. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240028
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    The feedback control method developed by Pyragas (1992) is mainly utilized to add the time-delayed feedback into the middle equation of the three-dimensional continuous chaotic system. But in fact it is also convenient and effective for chaos control if the feedback is added into the last equation. In this paper, Shimizu-Morioka chaotic system is taken as an illustration example and a single time-delayed feedback term is added into its last equation. The local stability and the occurrence of Hopf bifurcation are studied by taking the delay as the bifurcating parameter. The direction and stability of the bifurcating periodic solutions are further investigated by means of the center manifold theorem and the norm form theory. Finally, numerical experiments are presented to illustrate the correctness of the theoretical results as well as the effectiveness of chaos control.
  • HUANG Shuai, LIU Yongchao, AN Yaxin
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2025-2039. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240152
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    For a class of strict-feedback nonlinear systems with unknown control direction, a dynamic event-triggered control method based on backstepping is proposed, which can solve the problem of unknown control direction and reduce the data transmission in the network. Firstly, the Nussbaum gain function is introduced to solve unknown control direction. Secondly, a dynamic event-triggered scheme is introduced in the actual controller design, and a dynamic variable is introduced to adjust the trigger threshold, which further reduce the number of events. The stability of the closed loop system is proved based on Lyapunov function, and Zeno behavior does not appear. Finally, the simulation results show that the dynamic event-triggered control method can reduce the data transmission in the network and save network resources.
  • ZHANG Yajie, SONG Xueli, WANG Kaiming, ZHI Xueyao
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2040-2056. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms23567
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    Aiming at the task of monitoring events with extremely low probability of occurrence in high quality process, a lower-sided extended exponentially weighted moving average (EEWMA-TBE) control chart is developed equipped with a truncation mechanism under the exponential distribution assumption, in which the history, current information, and latest difference information of the sample is integrated, and the downward shift of the time between events (TBE) is considered as an indicator of process deterioration. The detection of potential downward mean-value-shift of TBE is realized. Numerical experiments show that, compared with the existing one-sided EWMA-TBE control chart, the one-sided EEWMA-TBE control chart provides a more flexible detection on TBE-mean-value-shift of variable scales, and presents better performance under the view of the average run length (ARL) and run length standard deviation (SDRL) as evaluation criteria.
  • HAN Yongsheng, QI Zhiquan, TIAN Yingjie
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2057-2074. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms2024-0088
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    Learning from label proportions (LLP) is a weakly labeled learning problem, where the instance-level label information is abstracted in the form of bags, that is, only the label proportion information of each bag is available. Consequently, LLP can be grouped into learning with bags community, where bags consisted of instances are related. Similar to typical classification, our aim is not only to learn a classifier to greatly recover the instance-level labels in training data, but also to generalize this label prediction to unseen data. However, due to the ambiguous or approximate property in statistic estimation and the existence of label noises, a more realistic situation for this learning framework is prone to conceive an interval-type proportion information, instead of real-valued proportions in LLP. Thus, for these universal scenarios, the standard LLP methods are failed to offer a satisfied label predictor. In this paper, we propose a new learning framework called Bounded Label Proportions (BLP) to tackle this puzzled problem. In addition, we perform a robust algorithm for BLP based on random forest (RF): BLPForest, which is naturally able to deal with multi-class and high dimensional problems. For the purpose of comparison, we divided our experiments into two parts. In the first part, we degenerated BLPForest into standard LLP problem, in order to verify the evolution between these two similar learning problems. Consequently, the results demonstrated BLPForest with a natural advantage even in the case of real-valued proportion information equipped, which mainly benefited from the application of RF algorithm. For the second part, we chose large datasets with multi-class and much higher dimensions. In a meantime, appropriate noise for proportion information in each bag was deliberately added. All experiments showed that BLPForest can yield the best accuracies in the most cases. The final conclusion is that the method proposed in this paper demonstrates the best performance when dealing with multi-class and high-dimensional problems.
  • CHENG Weitao, PAN Xianli, ZHANG Xinyu
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2075-2092. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240013
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    In time series forecasting, prediction error metrics cannot assist researchers in determining whether poor prediction performance is due to an inappropriate model choice or if the data inherently lacks predictive information. Intrinsic predictability characterizes "the upper limit of prediction accuracy" for the data, which can help researchers assess the compatibility of the current model and data. In this paper, we briefly review the concepts of predictability and provide a detailed introduction to the studies of time series predictability based on permutation entropy. Based on this, we propose permutation entropy with covariates to characterize the complexity of target time series when covariates are available and demonstrate its effectiveness through experiments with real glass bubble data. Additionally, we further present a strategy for model selection based on intrinsic predictability, aiming to choose simpler models and reduce the time cost of modeling and forecasting while maintaining reasonable accuracy. Numerical experiments on economic data validate the efficacy of this strategy.
  • NI Xuanming, GU Zhiyuan, JIANG Miao, ZHAO Huimin
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2093-2113. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250142
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    The green technology innovation is essential to the promotion of green low-carbon transformation, and enterprises are the main body of green technology innovation. Under the background of the digital economy, seizing the opportunity of digital development is crucial for high-quality economic development. Therefore, it is of great significance to explore whether the digital economy can promote enterprises' green technological innovation and the green low-carbon transformation of the economy, as well as the mechanisms involved. This paper selects indicators from four dimensions: Digital governance, industrial digitization, digital industrialization and data valued process, to calculate the index of digital economy development level in 31 Provinces selected in China from 2015 to 2022. Based on the green patent data, financial data, and other data of 1661 A-share listed companies, empirical analysis is conducted. The research results show that the development of digital economy can promote the enterprises' green technology innovation. This promoting effect is more significant in heavily polluting industry enterprises, non-eastern region enterprises and non-state-owned enterprises. Further analysis of the mechanism reveals that the digital economy development promotes enterprises' green technology innovation by promoting R&D investment of the enterprises and alleviating financing constraints of enterprises.
  • GAO Kaiye, LIU Qiming, PENG Rui, FU Bo, YE Hengqing
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2114-2132. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240107
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    As an important supplement to the offline healthcare system, the popularization of online healthcare provides new pathways for patients to access medical services, promoting the sound and orderly development of the social healthcare environment. This study consolidates and reanalyzes empirical research on patients' physician selection behavior in online healthcare communities, addressing inconsistencies in prior findings, clarifying the effect intensity of different antecedent variables on users' physician selection behavior, and providing references for subsequent research and practical applications. Using meta-analysis, we analyze 23 antecedent variables and 3 moderating variables affecting patients' online physician selection behavior, encompassing 190 independent effect sizes from 55 studies. The findings reveal that all 23 antecedent variables positively influence patients' online physician selection behavior, with patient satisfaction and total review count demonstrating significant strong correlations. Platform types, study timeframes, and data collection methods function as moderators in the relationships between certain antecedent variables and online physician selection.
  • WANG Zongrun, NI Xuekai, REN Xiaohang
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2133-2153. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240167
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    When a sudden public health emergency occurs, the demand for emergency medical supplies surges, and ensuring the effective supply of emergency medical materials becomes a crucial issue concerning public safety. To investigate the strategic choices among emergency medical supplies stakeholders during sudden public health emergencies, this paper constructs an evolutionary game model involving medical material suppliers, hospitals, and local governments. Based on the real-world scenario during the COVID-19 pandemic where some medical material suppliers engaged in speculative sales, disrupting market order, this paper constructs an evolutionary game model involving medical material suppliers, hospitals, and local governments. It analyzes the stability of strategies adopted by each stakeholder in the game and further employs the Lyapunov first law to analyze the stability of combined strategies in the game system. Subsequently, simulation analysis is conducted to discuss the influence of different parameters on the evolution of the tripartite game system. The research indicates that evolutionarily stable strategies are significantly influenced by hospital complaint costs and the strict supervision costs imposed by local governments. Excessively high hospital complaint costs can result in insufficient proactive supervision feedback from hospitals, consequently leading to ineffective strict government supervision, especially given the relatively high costs associated with such supervision. Ultimately, the strategic choices of the three parties in the game tend towards speculative sales, acceptance, loose supervision. The intensity of rewards and penalties implemented by local governments on the decision-making entities of the other two parties plays a decisive role in the stability of the system. Insufficient rewards and penalties by local governments on medical material suppliers or inadequate compensation by hospitals, coupled with excessive punishment, can lead to the failure of strict government supervision. When local governments adopt a lax supervisory stance, emergency medical material suppliers naturally lean towards speculative sales. To ensure the effective supply of emergency medical supplies, local governments must consistently enforce strict supervision.
  • TAN Xurui, ZHANG Baoyou, WANG Tingting
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2154-2172. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240224
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    Logistics standardization is a crucial avenue for enhancing the development of the modern circulation industry. China has actively initiated pilot projects on logistics standardization to explore solutions to the "bottleneck" issues in circulation. Against the backdrop of the goal of circulation integration, attracting more participants from the circulation entities to engage in deep collaboration in logistics standardization and building a smooth and efficient circulation system are key to the development of modern circulation. This paper, based on the perspective of collaborative governance, constructs a three-party evolutionary game model, namely, "manufacturer-third-party logistics enterprise-retailer" to depict the behavioral relationships of supply chain participants in collaborative logistics standardization. The study investigates the key factors influencing the collaborative mode selection among entities within the chain, explores the relationships of interests among entities, and further discusses different stable states of the system and the strategic choices of entities through simulation analysis. The research reveals that: 1) The ideal state of three-party collaboration can be directly achieved when the initial potential for each entity's participation reaches a certain threshold. 2) Increasing the intensity of government rewards and penalties for each entity promotes the establishment of standardized collaborative relationships. 3) The reduction of standardization costs can attract the participation of entities in collaborative standardization, and its incentive effect is more independent of the initial intentions of enterprises compared to government subsidies. 4) Third-party logistics enterprises sacrificing profits for cost savings upstream and downstream can benefit entities in converging to the ideal state. In conclusion, the study proposes corresponding policy recommendations based on the findings.
  • ZHANG Jingni, GUO Yongjiang
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2173-2188. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms23754
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    We consider a market insisting of three parties: A product, a seller and a consumer. The quality of the product is denoted as $\theta$. When the seller conducts market research on the product quality, there exists an quality error denoted as $\varepsilon$. So, the seller can get a signal of the product quality, denoted by $s=\theta+\varepsilon$. For simple, we assume that the quality error has a two-point distribution. This makes the seller could conclude the true quality of the product and disclose it to the consumer based on a threshold strategy. When the seller does not disclose the quality information, the consumer forms an expectation about the product quality denoted as $E(\theta|s\le \hat{s})$. When the seller discloses the information, the consumer does not fully trust the seller and believes the disclosed quality with a trust probability. We study the impact of trust probability and disclosure cost on the seller's disclosure behavior in the case of monopoly and competition, and deduce the relationship between the seller's ex ante profits and the two factors. In the case of monopoly, the seller's ex ante profits are positively correlated with the trust probability. When the trust probability is low, the ex ante profits are a convex function of the disclosure cost. When the trust probability is high, the ex ante profits are negatively correlated with the disclosure cost. In the case of competition, the ex ante profits are still positively correlated with the trust probability and negatively correlated with the disclosure cost.
  • YUAN Yuxiang, CHENG Dong, BAI Qinyang
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2189-2208. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240239
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    Most of the existing group evaluation methods with subject-object collaboration mainly focused on point value or interval number, and have not considered the impact of the trust relationship on the results. To address these issues, this paper proposes a trust relationship-based group evaluation method with subject-object collaboration under intuitionistic fuzzy contexts. First, according to the constructed the subject trust network and the object trust network, a weight determination method based on intuitionistic fuzzy in-degree centrality index is proposed to obtain the weights of the subject and the object. Second, considering that the credibility of the object's self-assessment information, a comprehensive credibility-based optimal estimation model is established to estimate the incomplete opinion of the subject. Finally, to aggregate the evaluation values given by the subject and the object, a minimum deviation subject-object aggregation model is proposed to obtain the final results. In the end, the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method are verified by an application example. The comparison results show that the evaluation results of each object under the collaboration of the subject and the object are between the evaluation results of the subject and the evaluation results of the object.
  • WANG Nengfa, YANG Zhe
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2209-2219. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms23361
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    Inspired by the work of Kajii (1996), we first establish an exchange economy model with paper money and cooperative behavior. Second, under the basic assumption of transferable utilities, we give the definition of transferable utility cooperative equilibria in the model, and prove the existence theorem of transferable utility cooperative equilibria under some regular conditions. Finally, an example is given to verify the validity of the main results.
  • GUO Zhanbing, WANG Haojie, HAN Jianing
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2220-2243. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms2023-0032
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    To guide the stable diffusion of new energy vehicles, this paper investigates the evolution characteristics of NEV firms with taking the new features of new energy vehicle market into consideration. On the demand side, social interactions, which spread not only the information about green products but also public perception of environmental protection, are effective in encouraging potential consumers to buy green products. On the supply side, with the competition between battery electric vehicles and hybrid electric vehicles increasing rapidly, it is essential to consider this competition when making the supply policy. On this basis, we investigate the diffusion process of new energy vehicles and the impacts of key parameters. Moreover, two forms of social interactions are investigated and compared with each other to show the features of different development stages of the NEV industry. Finally, we show that chaos could be controlled via the delay feedback method. This study provides some valuable implications for the stable development of the new energy vehicle industry and highlights the importance for new energy vehicle firms to take the social interactions into consideration in the Internet age.
  • LI Meijuan, LIN Xiaxin, HU Huifang, WANG Lili
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2244-2262. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms241085
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    In response to the scenario of a two-stage production structure that includes undesirable outputs and shared input factors, a two-stage data envelopment analysis (DEA) model has been developed. This model not only enables the rational allocation of shared resources between the two stages but also addresses undesirable outputs by applying the weak disposability theory, which aligns with real-world production dynamics. Furthermore, drawing on the concept of non-cooperative games, the model decomposes the efficiency of subprocesses by considering scenarios in which either the first or second stage is dominant, thereby establishing subprocess efficiency models. Ultimately, we employ the proposed model to evaluate the innovation efficiency of Specialized, Refined, Distinctive, and Innovative (SRDI) small and medium-sized enterprises in Fujian Province. By conducting a thorough analysis of both the overall efficiency and the subprocess efficiency of these enterprises, more accurate and comprehensive evaluation results can be obtained. Additionally, comparisons with various models further enhance the rationale and feasibility of the model presented in this paper.
  • WANG Liang, GUO Ruihong, WANG Yingming
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2263-2275. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240225
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    A key issue in multi-criteria sorting problems is to consider the decision maker's preferences, which has a direct impact on the sorting results. It can make the sorting results more in line with the real-world situation, the obtained results are usually more satisfactory by decision maker according to his/her individual preferences. Therefore, based on the existing VIKORSort methods, this paper proposes a D-VIKORSort method considering decision makers' individual preferences. Firstly, from the decision making process, the concept of different dominances is given, and the dominance preference of decision maker is presented. Secondly, the VIKOR method is selected to illustrate the different dominances. The dominance of group utility value and individual regret value are regarded as local dominance, while the compromise value is regarded as global dominance. Let the decision maker's preference for global dominance be D, and transform different dominance into harmonic dominance through this preference. Then harmonic dominance and its calculation formula are defined, which can be used to sort the alternatives. Thirdly, the specific algorithm of the sorting method proposed in this paper is given. Finally, to illustrate the superiority, novelty of the proposed method, the method is applied to two practical examples, and the results are compared with the results of existing research methods.
  • ZHAO Yi, XU Chunming, WU Chenchen, YANG Jie
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2276-2293. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms23611
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    As product competition gradually develops into supply chain based competition, full chain traceability has become one of the main ways to enhance the competitive advantage of the supply chain. Compared to traditional traceability, blockchain traceability has some advantages in decentralization, enhancing consumer trust in products, and enhancing customer experience. Considering the impact of customer experience on customer purchasing behavior, this study develops the demand of each supply chain by maximizing the nonlinear consumer utility function and explores the equilibrium strategies of two competing supply chains that consider customer experience without or with blockchain. And then we compare the optimal strategies obtained in each scenario. The results show that the supply chain with a high initial share has a competitive advantage and provide customer with a higher service experience. Only when consumers' traceability awareness exceeds a certain threshold, both competing supply chains will choose to adopt blockchain and achieve a win-win situation. Finally, we analyze the impacts of investment cost coefficient, traceability awareness, and competitive intensity on supply chains through numerical examples.
  • FENG Zhongwei, ZHAO Wanting, TAN Chunqiao, FU Duanxiang
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2294-2316. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240288
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    This paper considers two competing scenarios: A supply chain with competing manufacturers and competing supply chains. Considering that the manufacturers invest in production process improvement, information sharing decision game models are constructed to analyze the interaction between information sharing of e-commerce platform and process improvement, and explore the impact of competition intensity and investment efficiency on information sharing decision of e-commerce platform. The results show that: 1) Process improvement level of informed manufacturer increases with demand signals. 2) In the supply chain with two competing manufacturers, if the investment efficiency is very high, the e-commerce platform only shares the demand information with one manufacturer; if the investment efficiency is very low, the e-commerce platform is reluctant to share information; Otherwise, the e-commerce platform shares demand information with both manufacturers. 3) In the supply chain competition, if two manufacturers have the same investment efficiency, e-commerce platforms will share information with their respective manufacturers when the competition between the two supply chains is intense or the investment efficiency is high; If the investment efficiency of two manufacturers is different, the e-commerce platform will share demand information with its manufacturer with high investment efficiency. Whether the e-commerce platform will share demand information with its manufacturer with low investment efficiency depends on the competition intensity.
  • WU Jianming, SUN Yuying, ZHANG Xinyu, LI Na
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2317-2329. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240045
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    Relative errors are widely employed in sales forecasting and other domains to assess prediction accuracy due to its scale invariance and ease of comprehension. In this paper, with a homoscedastic Guassianity assumption, a novel model averaging approach based on multiplicative models and mean squared relative risk is proposed to improve the forecast accuracy measured by mean squared relative error. A theoretical guarantee that the expectation of the weight criterion is asymptotically equivalent to the relative risk is provided. Under some mild conditions, when all candidate models are misspecified the model averaging method is asymptotically optimal, and when correct models exist the sum of the weights placed on these correct models converges to 1. Furthermore, numerical experiments and an empirical analysis on sales forecasting show the superiority and practicability of the proposed method.
  • SI Meng, ZHANG Junying
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2330-2344. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms23185
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    This paper proposes a new high-dimensional data selection method (PHDT) based on the principal Hessian direction matrix (PHD). The method selects significant variables by utilizing the changes in the trace of the principal Hessian direction matrix when gradually adding or subtracting covariates. Compared to the kernel matrix of the sliced inverse regression method, the calculation of PHD is more straightforward. The selection consistency of the PHDT method is proven, which is a crucial property of any feature selection method. Furthermore, the large sample properties of the test statistics used in the PHDT method have been established, which provides a solid foundation for its statistical validity. Before the actual operation, the initial screening of covariates using BIC criterion can narrow the scope of finding significant variables, and make the subsequent feature selection process more efficient and precise. Data simulation and real data analysis verify the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method, which provides strong support for the subsequent modeling and analysis.
  • YU Liping, DU Wei, ZHENG Kun, ZHANG Bo
    Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences. 2025, 45(7): 2345-2362. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms23054
    Abstract & Html ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
    High-tech industry is the highland of scientific and technological innovation, in which innovation scale and innovation effciency are two important dimensions to measure the innovation-driven development of enterprises. By researching and developing the panel data of high-tech enterprises in 30 Provinces, this paper explores the relationship between innovation scale and innovation effciency, and summarizes the evolution path of innovation mode in 30 Provinces. The study found that the innovation-driven development of the whole country has made progress to a high level; Different types of regional development paths can be summarized into four development models, including long-term leading type, successfully achieve type, transition stage type and backward stage type; The innovation model of innovation scale and innovation effciency had the phenomenon of development regression; Low scale hightech enterprises should give priority to improving their innovation effciency, which can bring greater innovation output; Innovation scale and innovation effciency have positive effects on innovation output; In the long run, there is a mutually promoting relationship between the two. In the short term, the innovation scale has an obvious effect on the improvement of innovation effciency, and the innovation effciency has a certain restrictive effect on the innovation scale.