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概率信息完全未知的概率犹豫模糊多属性决策方法

曹倩,刘小弟,张世涛,吴健   

  1. 安徽工业大学数理科学与工程学院,马鞍山 243000
  • 出版日期:2020-07-25 发布日期:2020-09-23

曹倩,刘小弟,张世涛,吴健. 概率信息完全未知的概率犹豫模糊多属性决策方法[J]. 系统科学与数学, 2020, 40(7): 1242-1256.

CAO Qian, LIU Xiaodi,ZHANG Shitao,WU Jian. Probabilistic Hesitant Fuzzy Multi-Attribute Decision Making Method with Completely Unknown Probability Information[J]. Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences, 2020, 40(7): 1242-1256.

Probabilistic Hesitant Fuzzy Multi-Attribute Decision Making Method with Completely Unknown Probability Information

CAO Qian, LIU Xiaodi ,ZHANG Shitao ,WU Jian   

  1. School of Mathematics and Physics, Anhui University of Technology Ma’anshan 243000
  • Online:2020-07-25 Published:2020-09-23

研究了概率信息完全未知的概率犹豫模糊多属性决策问题.首先,针对概率 犹豫模糊元中元素概率完全未知的情形,建立非线性规划模型,确定元素的概率.其次,根 据决策者给出的评价值,利用熵权法确定属性权重.然后,将LINMAP方法推广到概率犹 豫模糊环境下, 提出一种客观确定理想解的方法.并利用折中比率法实现方案的择优 排序,这种方法的基本思想是最优方案离正理想解最近并且离负理想解最远,以 此得到更为客观合理的决策结果.最后,给出算例说明方法的可行性与有效性.

A problem of probabilistic hesitant fuzzy multi-attribute decision making with completely unknown probability information is studied. Firstly, aiming at the case that the probabilities of probabilistic hesitant fuzzy elements (PHFEs) are completely unknown, a nonlinear programming model is proposed to determine the unknown probabilities of PHFEs. Secondly, according to the evaluation of decision-makers, the weight of attribute can be determined by entropy weight method. In addition, an approach based on LINMAP method is put forward to determine the probabilistic hesitant fuzzy ideal solutions objectively in the probabilistic hesitant fuzzy environment. Then, the compromise ratio method (CRM), whose basic principle is that the optimal alternative should have the nearest distance from positive ideal solution and the longest distance from negative ideal solution simultaneously, is utilized to rank the alternatives. And more objective and reasonable decision results can be obtained through CRM. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method.

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[1] 傅伟锋,易志洪. 模糊语言信息集成与决策分析[J]. 系统科学与数学, 2020, 40(8): 1447-1455.
[2] 武文顺,李应,倪志伟,朱旭辉,伍章俊. 概率犹豫模糊Maclaurin几何对称平均算子及其群决策模型[J]. 系统科学与数学, 2020, 40(6): 1074-1080.
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